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Inflation Drops Below 2%: Argentina's June 2026 Prices Bring Fresh Air to the Economy

14/07/2026 21:03 - Economia

June's Big Number: 1.9%

The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2026 stood at 1.9% monthly. This marks a positive milestone, as it is the first time in 10 months that inflation has broken through the 2% floor, a figure celebrated by the national government.

The news brings a sigh of relief to Argentine households. The deceleration of prices began to appear in April (at 2.6%), dropped to 2.1% in May, and finally consolidated this downward trend in June. So far in 2026, inflation has accumulated an increase of 16.8%, while the year-over-year comparison reaches 33.5%.

An Optimistic Economic Context

INDEC's announcement was accompanied by other very favorable economic signals. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) ratified its support for Argentina's economic program and confirmed the visit of its Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, for July 27, 2026.

Furthermore, the country risk continued its downward trend, settling around 403 basis points after the punctual payment of debt maturities. The Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, assured that local financing to cover commitments for 2026 and 2027 is already guaranteed, without the need to resort to new issuances in international markets.

What Did Consulting Firms Say Before the Announcement?

The market had hit the mark with its projections. Firms like Equilibra, Eco Go, Outlier, and C&T anticipated 1.9%. Analytica was slightly more optimistic with 1.8%, while the Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey (REM) had predicted 2%. The advanced data from the City of Buenos Aires (1.8%) had already served as a good thermometer of what was to come.

Impact Across Different Sectors

The price relief was felt in several areas, although some sectors showed the usual adjustments of economic dynamics:

  • Food and beverages: A strong deceleration was observed, with an average increase of 1.9% according to C&T. LCG recorded a 1.5% increase in the last four weeks. Meat showed its lowest increase since September.
  • Vegetables: Although they showed a jump of over 10% due to seasonal factors, this was offset by price drops in other supermarket products.
  • Health: Registered a 2.5% increase, driven by medications and private health insurance premiums.
  • Services: Transportation in the City of Buenos Aires rose by 2.1% (heavily impacted by train fares), while gas and water rates registered 3% and electricity 1.5%.

A Message of Tranquility

From the government, Minister of Economy Luis Caputo had anticipated that the dynamic would continue to improve: People can rest easy because inflation will continue to drop. Meanwhile, presidential spokesperson Adrián Ravier celebrated the evolution of the indicators during his press conference, confirming that future projections remain encouraging, with the goal of reaching single digits on the 2028 horizon.

Sources: La Voz and El Cronista
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